Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
-0.22) 
0.48) 
