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Notts County
National League | Gameweek 44
May 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane
Dover Athletic

Notts County
1 - 0
Dover Athletic

Rodrigues (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's National League clash between Notts County and Dover Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: Notts County 3-0 Dover Athletic

After previously beating Dover 3-0 just last week, we are predicting a similar scoreline again on Monday to see County strengthen their grip on a playoff spot. Despite being defeated at the weekend, the home side are in strong form lately, whilst it is difficult to see where the next point will come from for a poor visiting Dover side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 86.8%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 4.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawDover Athletic
86.8%8.66%4.53%
Both teams to score 51.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.62%20.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.34%38.66%
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.93%3.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.25%13.74%
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.49%46.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.88%82.11%
Score Analysis
    Notts County 86.8%
    Dover Athletic 4.53%
    Draw 8.66%
Notts CountyDrawDover Athletic
3-0 @ 10.08%
4-0 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 8.67%
3-1 @ 7.72%
4-1 @ 6.73%
2-1 @ 6.64%
5-0 @ 6.14%
1-0 @ 4.97%
5-1 @ 4.7%
6-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 2.96%
6-1 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 2.58%
5-2 @ 1.8%
7-0 @ 1.78%
7-1 @ 1.36%
6-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 86.8%
1-1 @ 3.8%
2-2 @ 2.54%
0-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 8.66%
1-2 @ 1.46%
0-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 4.53%

How you voted: Notts County vs Dover Athletic

Notts County
100%
Draw
0.0%
Dover Athletic
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Dover Athletic
0-3
Notts County

Hanson (16'), Judd (43'), Gyasi (55')
Judd (47')
Francis (60'), Roberts (83'), Rodrigues (90')
Rodrigues (30'), Chicksen (38'), Lacey (55')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Notts County
0-0
Dover Athletic

Rose (63'), Doyle (76')

Taylor (29'), Gobern (46'), Modeste (79'), Passley (99')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Dover Athletic
2-2
Notts County
Taylor (35'), Lokko (57')
Reason (7')
Rose (41' pen.), Dennis (90')
Wootton (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Falcons
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet1290325111427
2York City127411861225
3Forest Green RoversForest Green127322091124
4Rochdale127232091123
5Gateshead117222215723
6Oldham AthleticOldham126511711623
7Eastleigh126331915421
8Sutton UnitedSutton125431916319
9AltrinchamAltrincham125341515018
10Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red124532013717
11Halifax TownHalifax124531210217
12Yeovil TownYeovil124351314-115
13Woking124351316-315
14Solihull MoorsSolihull124351418-415
15Aldershot TownAldershot123541717014
16Southend UnitedSouthend123541717014
17Tamworth114251219-714
18Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool12345711-413
19Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead123271420-611
20Braintree TownBraintree12246613-710
21Boston UnitedBoston122371222-109
22Fylde122371324-119
23WealdstoneWealdstone12156917-88
24Ebbsfleet12129925-165


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