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Notts County
National League | Gameweek 44
May 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane
Dover Athletic

Notts County
1 - 0
Dover Athletic

Rodrigues (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's National League clash between Notts County and Dover Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: Notts County 3-0 Dover Athletic

After previously beating Dover 3-0 just last week, we are predicting a similar scoreline again on Monday to see County strengthen their grip on a playoff spot. Despite being defeated at the weekend, the home side are in strong form lately, whilst it is difficult to see where the next point will come from for a poor visiting Dover side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 86.8%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 4.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawDover Athletic
86.8%8.66%4.53%
Both teams to score 51.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.62%20.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.34%38.66%
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.93%3.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.25%13.74%
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.49%46.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.88%82.11%
Score Analysis
    Notts County 86.8%
    Dover Athletic 4.53%
    Draw 8.66%
Notts CountyDrawDover Athletic
3-0 @ 10.08%
4-0 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 8.67%
3-1 @ 7.72%
4-1 @ 6.73%
2-1 @ 6.64%
5-0 @ 6.14%
1-0 @ 4.97%
5-1 @ 4.7%
6-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 2.96%
6-1 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 2.58%
5-2 @ 1.8%
7-0 @ 1.78%
7-1 @ 1.36%
6-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 86.8%
1-1 @ 3.8%
2-2 @ 2.54%
0-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 8.66%
1-2 @ 1.46%
0-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 4.53%

How you voted: Notts County vs Dover Athletic

Notts County
100%
Draw
0.0%
Dover Athletic
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Dover Athletic
0-3
Notts County

Hanson (16'), Judd (43'), Gyasi (55')
Judd (47')
Francis (60'), Roberts (83'), Rodrigues (90')
Rodrigues (30'), Chicksen (38'), Lacey (55')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Notts County
0-0
Dover Athletic

Rose (63'), Doyle (76')

Taylor (29'), Gobern (46'), Modeste (79'), Passley (99')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Dover Athletic
2-2
Notts County
Taylor (35'), Lokko (57')
Reason (7')
Rose (41' pen.), Dennis (90')
Wootton (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet22152546252147
2York City22136344202445
3Forest Green RoversForest Green21136239172245
4Gateshead22125541271441
5Oldham AthleticOldham20117236191740
6Rochdale21113731191236
7AltrinchamAltrincham229763628834
8Yeovil TownYeovil2210482723434
9Halifax TownHalifax229762522334
10Solihull MoorsSolihull229583835332
11Sutton UnitedSutton229582927232
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool227962424030
13Eastleigh217862928129
14Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red217773526928
15Southend UnitedSouthend226972424027
16Tamworth217592337-1426
17Aldershot TownAldershot2257103139-822
18Fylde2264122743-1622
19Woking2256111932-1321
20WealdstoneWealdstone214892432-820
21Braintree TownBraintree2255121931-1220
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2255122744-1720
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2216151650-349


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