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Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
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Notts County
National League | Gameweek 44
May 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane
Dover Athletic

Notts County
1 - 0
Dover Athletic

Rodrigues (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's National League clash between Notts County and Dover Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: Notts County 3-0 Dover Athletic

After previously beating Dover 3-0 just last week, we are predicting a similar scoreline again on Monday to see County strengthen their grip on a playoff spot. Despite being defeated at the weekend, the home side are in strong form lately, whilst it is difficult to see where the next point will come from for a poor visiting Dover side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 86.8%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 4.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawDover Athletic
86.8%8.66%4.53%
Both teams to score 51.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.62%20.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.34%38.66%
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.93%3.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.25%13.74%
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.49%46.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.88%82.11%
Score Analysis
    Notts County 86.8%
    Dover Athletic 4.53%
    Draw 8.66%
Notts CountyDrawDover Athletic
3-0 @ 10.08%
4-0 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 8.67%
3-1 @ 7.72%
4-1 @ 6.73%
2-1 @ 6.64%
5-0 @ 6.14%
1-0 @ 4.97%
5-1 @ 4.7%
6-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 2.96%
6-1 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 2.58%
5-2 @ 1.8%
7-0 @ 1.78%
7-1 @ 1.36%
6-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 86.8%
1-1 @ 3.8%
2-2 @ 2.54%
0-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 8.66%
1-2 @ 1.46%
0-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 4.53%

How you voted: Notts County vs Dover Athletic

Notts County
100%
Draw
0.0%
Dover Athletic
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Dover Athletic
0-3
Notts County

Hanson (16'), Judd (43'), Gyasi (55')
Judd (47')
Francis (60'), Roberts (83'), Rodrigues (90')
Rodrigues (30'), Chicksen (38'), Lacey (55')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Notts County
0-0
Dover Athletic

Rose (63'), Doyle (76')

Taylor (29'), Gobern (46'), Modeste (79'), Passley (99')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Dover Athletic
2-2
Notts County
Taylor (35'), Lokko (57')
Reason (7')
Rose (41' pen.), Dennis (90')
Wootton (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet37257579324782
2York City36218768353371
3Forest Green RoversForest Green361814455292668
4Gateshead361791065471860
5Oldham AthleticOldham361514752391359
6Halifax TownHalifax351611843331059
7AltrinchamAltrincham341510956411555
8Rochdale321571045291652
9Eastleigh361313104942752
10Southend UnitedSouthend361313104640652
11Tamworth371212134757-1048
12Sutton UnitedSutton341211114644247
13Solihull MoorsSolihull36137165254-246
14Yeovil TownYeovil361210144147-646
15Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool371015124347-445
16Braintree TownBraintree36119163948-942
17Woking35914123849-1141
18Aldershot TownAldershot34913125256-440
19Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red36812164753-636
20Fylde35106194267-2536
21WealdstoneWealdstone34811154258-1635
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead3697204168-2734
23Boston UnitedBoston33610173251-1928
24Ebbsfleet37111252680-5414


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