Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.