National League South | Gameweek 42
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Hemel Hemps.3 - 4Aveley
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Aveley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dartford 1-1 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 St Albans City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
58
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.
Result | ||
Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Aveley |
34.85% ( 0.01) | 25.39% ( -0) | 39.76% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.15% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.36% ( 0.01) | 47.64% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.16% ( 0.01) | 69.84% ( -0.01) |
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( 0.01) | 26.4% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% ( 0.01) | 61.56% ( -0.01) |
Aveley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.29% ( 0) | 23.71% ( -0) |