Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Hemel Hempstead Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aveley 2-0 Weston
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 2-1 Dartford
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 52.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.
Result | ||
Aveley | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
52.73% ( 1.29) | 24.65% ( 0.49) | 22.62% ( -1.78) |
Both teams to score 50.29% ( -3.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.55% ( -3.69) | 51.44% ( 3.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.74% ( -3.31) | 73.25% ( 3.31) |
Aveley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.52% ( -0.91) | 19.47% ( 0.91) |