National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Hemel Hempstead0 - 3Oxford City
FT(HT: 0-1)
Parker (9', 90+5'), Ashby (58')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Oxford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Oxford City 2-2 Braintree
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Oxford City |
23.79% ( -0.03) | 24.62% ( -0.01) | 51.59% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.76% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
