National League South | Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Hemel Hempstead1 - 3St Albans City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and St Albans City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-0 Bath City
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: St Albans City 3-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
34
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
Result | ||
Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | St Albans City |
25.03% ( -1.36) | 24.11% ( -0.16) | 50.87% ( 1.52) |
Both teams to score 54.68% ( -0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.05% ( -0.44) | 46.95% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.8% ( -0.41) | 69.2% ( 0.41) |
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.08% ( -1.34) | 32.92% ( 1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.5% ( -1.52) | 69.49% ( 1.52) |
St Albans City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.52% ( 0.43) | 18.48% ( -0.43) |