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National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park
Weymouth

St Albans City
2 - 1
Weymouth

Fage (35'), Rasulo (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bearwish (75')
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Weymouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford City 4-0 St Albans City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-2 Weymouth
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
St Albans CityDrawWeymouth
33.3% (-0.724 -0.72) 25.7% (0.131 0.13) 40.99% (0.595 0.59)
Both teams to score 54.74% (-0.631 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.7% (-0.732 -0.73)49.3% (0.733 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.64% (-0.663 -0.66)71.35% (0.664 0.66)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (-0.806 -0.81)28.15% (0.806 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (-1.033 -1.03)63.83% (1.033 1.03)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)23.82% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)57.99% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 33.3%
    Weymouth 40.99%
    Draw 25.7%
St Albans CityDrawWeymouth
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.73% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.3%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.198 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 9.62% (0.278 0.28)
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.9% (0.195 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 40.99%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
St Albans City
3-2
Weymouth
Jeffers (20', 34'), Weiss (79')
Willson (59'), Bearwish (89')
rhs 2.0
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