National League South | Gameweek 24
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Hemel Hemps.2 - 0Worthing
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Worthing.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Slough 2-0 Hemel Hemps.
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Worthing 5-1 Maidstone
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
44
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Worthing win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Worthing |
36.66% ( 0.2) | 26.68% ( 0.07) | 36.65% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 51.95% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.93% ( -0.27) | 53.07% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.34% ( -0.22) | 74.65% ( 0.23) |
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.08% ( -0.01) | 27.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.46% ( -0.01) | 63.54% ( 0.01) |
Worthing Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% ( -0.28) | 27.93% ( 0.29) |