Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hampton & Richmond win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hampton & Richmond win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hampton & Richmond in this match.