Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.