MX23RW : Friday, November 22 20:46:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 34
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Clarence Park
Ebbsfleet United

St Albans City
1 - 2
Ebbsfleet

Cooper (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Poleon (57'), Edser (64')
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weymouth 0-0 St Albans City
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 6-2 Hampton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
St Albans CityDrawEbbsfleet
30.11% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 25.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 44.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.15% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (0.095000000000006 0.1)48.18% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67% (0.087 0.09)70.34% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (0.095000000000013 0.1)29.7% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25% (0.113 0.11)65.76% (-0.105 -0.11)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45% (0.024000000000001 0.02)21.55% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)54.63% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 30.11%
    Ebbsfleet 44.72%
    Draw 25.17%
St Albans CityDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.72% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.11%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.72%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Ebbsfleet
3-1
St Albans City
Hollis (23'), Poleon (28', 45+5')
Chapman (76')
Jeffers (69')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Ebbsfleet
5-0
St Albans City
Brown (7' og.), Mekki (12', 27'), Wood (34'), Poleon (88')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
St Albans City
3-2
Ebbsfleet
Weiss (38'), Jeffers (40', 58')
Bingham (21' pen.), Grant (27')
rhs 2.0
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