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National League South | Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Viridor Stadium

Taunton Town
4 - 1
Tonbridge Angels

Braham-Barrett (2' og.), Jarvis (45+1'), Smith (75'), Chamberlain (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gavin (28')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Taunton Town and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford City 2-1 Taunton Town
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Taunton Town win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 25.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Taunton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Taunton Town would win this match.

Result
Taunton TownDrawTonbridge Angels
48.31% (-0.224 -0.22) 26.24% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 25.45% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 48.56% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8% (-0.213 -0.21)55.19% (0.21700000000001 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (-0.176 -0.18)76.43% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Taunton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.191 -0.19)22.88% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-0.285 -0.29)56.62% (0.288 0.29)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)37.04% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73.82% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Taunton Town 48.3%
    Tonbridge Angels 25.45%
    Draw 26.24%
Taunton TownDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.22% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 48.3%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.42% (0.071 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 25.45%

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