Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tonbridge Angels in this match.

Result
Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Chelmsford City
37.45% ( 2.05)	26.68% ( 0.25)	35.87% ( -2.3)

Both teams to score 51.94% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.93% (

-1.01)

53.07% (

1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.35% (

-0.86)

74.66% (

0.87)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54% (

0.73)

27.46% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05% (

0.94)

62.96% (

-0.93)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.61% (

-1.82)

28.39% (

1.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.86% (

-2.35)

64.14% (

2.35)

Score Analysis

Tonbridge Angels 37.44%

Chelmsford City 35.87%

Draw 26.67%

Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.05% Total : 37.44%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.33) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.87%