Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hemel Hempstead Town in this match.
