MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 20:31:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Treyew Road

Truro City
5 - 2
Welling United

Neal (5'), Palmer (18'), Porter (20', 39'), Harvey (45+2')
FT(HT: 5-1)
Green (28'), Papadopoulos (87' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 3-1 Truro City
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-3 Welling United
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.

Result
Truro CityDrawWelling United
59.84% (0.332 0.33) 22.48% (-0.152 -0.15) 17.67% (-0.179 -0.18)
Both teams to score 49.31% (0.133 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.11% (0.353 0.35)48.88% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (0.32 0.32)70.98% (-0.32000000000001 -0.32)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05% (0.232 0.23)15.94% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.78% (0.428 0.43)45.21% (-0.427 -0.43)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.34% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.14% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)77.86% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Truro City 59.84%
    Welling United 17.67%
    Draw 22.48%
Truro CityDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 12.1% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 11.11% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.8% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 59.84%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 17.67%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Weston-super-MareWeston17114231151637
2Truro CityTruro City18104429161334
3Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne1810442722534
4Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd188732216631
5Dorking WanderersDorking198653529630
6Farnborough TownFarnborough189363127430
7Worthing178542728-129
8Slough TownSlough1884633231028
9Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1776425141127
10Hampton & RichmondHampton177462417725
11Chippenham TownChippenham187472419525
12Chesham UnitedChesham157352722524
13Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels156632015524
14Maidstone UnitedMaidstone165832018223
15AFC HornchurchHornchurch176561617-123
16Chelmsford CityChelmsford City175752825322
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.196492533-822
18Welling UnitedWelling United1861111934-1519
19Salisbury164572227-517
20Bath City1844101326-1316
21St Albans CitySt Albans City172691625-912
22Weymouth172691122-1112
23Aveley1732121730-1311
24Enfield Town1732121638-2211


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