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National League South | Gameweek 22
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Woodspring Stadium

Weston
4 - 2
Welling United

Reid (32', 76'), Wood (58' og.), Morton (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Abrahams (54' pen.), Chambers (83')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weston-super-Mare and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Weston
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Welling United 4-1 Yeovil
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 67.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.

Result
Weston-super-MareDrawWelling United
67.35% (10.483 10.48) 17.47% (-3.705 -3.71) 15.17% (-6.782 -6.78)
Both teams to score 61.4% (0.462 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.55% (6.495 6.5)30.44% (-6.497 -6.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.27% (7.396 7.4)51.72% (-7.399 -7.4)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.63% (4.535 4.54)8.36% (-4.538 -4.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.89% (10.205 10.21)29.11% (-10.207 -10.21)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01% (-2.961 -2.96)32.99% (2.958 2.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (-3.417 -3.42)69.58% (3.417 3.42)
Score Analysis
    Weston-super-Mare 67.35%
    Welling United 15.17%
    Draw 17.48%
Weston-super-MareDrawWelling United
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.354 -0.35)
2-0 @ 8.49% (0.369 0.37)
3-1 @ 7.79% (1.12 1.12)
3-0 @ 7.03% (1.48 1.48)
1-0 @ 6.85% (-1.089 -1.09)
4-1 @ 4.83% (1.418 1.42)
4-0 @ 4.36% (1.519 1.52)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.308 0.31)
4-2 @ 2.68% (0.626 0.63)
5-1 @ 2.4% (1 1)
5-0 @ 2.16% (1 1)
5-2 @ 1.33% (0.489 0.49)
6-1 @ 0.99% (0.514 0.51)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 67.35%
1-1 @ 7.59% (-1.953 -1.95)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.656 -0.66)
0-0 @ 2.76% (-1.116 -1.12)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.48%
1-2 @ 4.21% (-1.531 -1.53)
0-1 @ 3.06% (-1.601 -1.6)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.426 -0.43)
0-2 @ 1.7% (-1.107 -1.11)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.745 -0.75)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 15.17%

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