Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.