Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.