Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.