Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for York City has a probability of 34.23% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest York City win is 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.59%).
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
40.99% ( 0.72) | 24.78% ( -0.16) | 34.23% ( -0.56) |
Both teams to score 58.14% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55% ( 0.63) | 45% ( -0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.65% ( 0.6) | 67.35% ( -0.6) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.06% ( 0.62) | 21.94% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.78% ( 0.94) | 55.22% ( -0.94) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.48% ( -0.03) | 25.52% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.63% ( -0.04) | 60.37% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.44% Total : 40.99% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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