Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for York City had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
38.46% (![]() | 25.4% (![]() | 36.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.44% (![]() | 47.56% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.23% (![]() | 69.77% (![]() |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.65% (![]() | 24.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.25% (![]() | 58.75% (![]() |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.38% (![]() | 25.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.48% (![]() | 60.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 8.81% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.48% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.23% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.46% | 1-1 @ 12% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.5% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.17% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.78% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 3.47% Total : 36.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 64 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 50 | 23 | 27 | 62 |
3 | York City | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 60 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Gateshead | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 52 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 48 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 45 |
8 | Rochdale | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 43 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 42 |
10 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 39 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
14 | Eastleigh | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 37 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 33 |
17 | Woking | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 31 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 31 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 29 |
21 | Fylde | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 28 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 26 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 20 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 31 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 21 | 67 | -46 | 13 |
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