Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 52.2%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.