Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Barnet |
27.73% ( 0.02) | 23.99% ( -0.03) | 48.28% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.54% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.68% ( 0.13) | 44.32% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.31% ( 0.13) | 66.69% ( -0.13) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.58% ( 0.08) | 29.42% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.59% ( 0.1) | 65.41% ( -0.1) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.52% ( 0.06) | 18.48% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.32% ( 0.09) | 49.68% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 27.73% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 48.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 50 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 43 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 35 |
12 | Eastleigh | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 31 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 25 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 60 | -43 | 9 |
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