Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
36.02% ( 1.8) | 25.9% ( -0.3) | 38.07% ( -1.5) |
Both teams to score 54.55% ( 1.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.24% ( 1.49) | 49.76% ( -1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.23% ( 1.31) | 71.76% ( -1.32) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.28% ( 1.8) | 26.72% ( -1.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.01% ( 2.31) | 61.98% ( -2.32) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.44% ( -0.13) | 25.56% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.57% ( -0.18) | 60.43% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.15% Total : 36.02% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.61) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.51% Total : 38.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
> National League Full Table |