National League | Gameweek 45

Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
0 - 2
Southend

Hunter (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Waldron (52'), Cardwell (71')
Miley (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League clash between Fylde and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions

Last Game: Fylde 2-0 Gateshead
Thursday, April 11 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 1-2 Southend
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.

Result
Fylde	Draw	Southend United
36.27% ( -1.35)	24.6% ( 0.41)	39.13% ( 0.94)

Both teams to score 59.18% (

-1.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.19% (

-2.02)

43.81% (

2.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.8% (

-2.01)

66.2% (

2.01)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.19% (

-1.62)

23.81% (

1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.01% (

-2.39)

57.98% (

2.39)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.67% (

-0.42)

22.33% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.19% (

-0.64)

55.8% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Fylde 36.27%

Southend United 39.13%

Draw 24.59%

Fylde	Draw	Southend United
2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.27%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.46) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.59) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.13%