Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Fylde | Draw | Southend United |
36.27% ( -1.35) | 24.6% ( 0.41) | 39.13% ( 0.94) |
Both teams to score 59.18% ( -1.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.19% ( -2.02) | 43.81% ( 2.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.8% ( -2.01) | 66.2% ( 2.01) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.19% ( -1.62) | 23.81% ( 1.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.01% ( -2.39) | 57.98% ( 2.39) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.67% ( -0.42) | 22.33% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.19% ( -0.64) | 55.8% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Fylde | Draw | Southend United |
2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.27% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.46) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.59) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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