Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sutton United in this match.