Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.