Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for King's Lynn Town had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a King's Lynn Town win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.