National League | Gameweek 43
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Recreation Ground
Aldershot3 - 1Notts County
Ndjoli (8'), Willard (34'), Armstrong (88')
Kinsella (81'), Berkeley-Agyepong (86'), Armstrong (89')
Kinsella (81'), Berkeley-Agyepong (86'), Armstrong (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Roberts (24' pen.)
Kelly-Evans (43'), Palmer (67'), Chicksen (78'), Francis (90+3')
Kelly-Evans (90+7')
Kelly-Evans (43'), Palmer (67'), Chicksen (78'), Francis (90+3')
Kelly-Evans (90+7')
Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Notts County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aldershot 1-3 Wealdstone
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Eastleigh | 44 | -22 | 46 |
| 20 | Aldershot Town | 44 | -27 | 43 |
| 21 | King's Lynn Town | 44 | -32 | 34 |
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in National League
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in National League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Halifax Town | 44 | 27 | 84 |
| 5 | Notts County | 44 | 29 | 82 |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Notts County |
| 18.56% | 21.87% | 59.56% |
| Both teams to score 52.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
