Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
35.09% ( 0.87) | 28.07% ( 0.39) | 36.84% ( -1.25) |
Both teams to score 47.55% ( -1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.46% ( -1.38) | 58.55% ( 1.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.88% ( -1.09) | 79.12% ( 1.1) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.41% ( -0.13) | 31.6% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32% ( -0.16) | 68% ( 0.16) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.51% ( -1.43) | 30.49% ( 1.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.3% ( -1.74) | 66.7% ( 1.74) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.08% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.27% Total : 36.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
> National League Full Table |