Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Yeovil Town |
27.24% ( 0.01) | 25.77% ( 0.28) | 46.99% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 51.4% ( -0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.8% ( -1.14) | 52.2% ( 1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.09% ( -0.99) | 73.9% ( 0.99) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.08% ( -0.6) | 33.92% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.4% ( -0.65) | 70.6% ( 0.66) |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.79% ( -0.6) | 22.21% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.38% ( -0.92) | 55.62% ( 0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Yeovil Town |
1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.24% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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