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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Oldham Athletic
National League | Gameweek 27
Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
Hartlepool United

Oldham
2 - 0
Hartlepool

Stones (3'), Fondop (85')
Hudson (83'), Norman (83'), Fondop (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brennan (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-3 Oldham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-3 Oldham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

We said: Oldham Athletic 2-1 Hartlepool United

 Hartlepool will be determined to put things right after losing at home to Oldham earlier this week. Nevertheless, we can only predict a home win, even though the Latics may have to work harder for maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawHartlepool United
41.3% (-0.125 -0.13) 24.53% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 34.17% (0.144 0.14)
Both teams to score 59.03% (0.121 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17% (0.137 0.14)43.83% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (0.134 0.13)66.21% (-0.137 -0.14)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71%21.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (0.0020000000000024 0)54.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.151 0.15)25% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (0.21 0.21)59.65% (-0.214 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 41.3%
    Hartlepool United 34.17%
    Draw 24.52%
Oldham AthleticDrawHartlepool United
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.3%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.52%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.11% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.17%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Hartlepool
1-3
Oldham
Grey (4')
Onariase (81')
Stones (9'), Norwood (16', 64')
Sutton (53'), Lundstram (74'), Raglan (90+2'), Stones (90+3')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 25
Hartlepool
0-0
Oldham
McGahey (6'), Clarke (38'), Hart (45+3'), Diarra (73')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Oldham
0-0
Hartlepool
Jameson (80'), Piergianni (87')
Ferguson (42'), Liddle (73'), Sterry (90+3')
Mar 19, 2013 7.45pm
Oldham
3-0
Hartlepool
Yves Mvoto Owono (27'), Simpson (17'), Baxter (69')
Nov 20, 2012 7.45pm
Hartlepool
1-2
Oldham
Sweeney (65')
Humphreys (21'), Horwood (90')
Austin (76')
Baxter (17', 90')
Montano (32'), Croft (51'), Derbyshire (65'), Baxter (90')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288
> National League Full Table


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