Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Hartlepool United |
41.3% ( -0.13) | 24.53% ( -0.02) | 34.17% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 59.03% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.17% ( 0.14) | 43.83% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.78% ( 0.13) | 66.21% ( -0.14) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.71% | 21.29% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.78% ( 0) | 54.22% ( -0) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75% ( 0.15) | 25% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.34% ( 0.21) | 59.65% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.3% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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