National League | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Rochdale0 - 1Ebbsfleet
Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Ebbsfleet.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Rochdale
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 5-0 Hungerford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
32.53% ( -4.66) | 24.93% ( 0.37) | 42.54% ( 4.29) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( -2.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
