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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Rochdale |
57.26% ( 0.11) | 23.07% ( -0.04) | 19.67% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.96% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.53% ( 0.04) | 48.47% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.4% ( 0.04) | 70.6% ( -0.04) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.32% ( 0.05) | 16.68% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.44% ( 0.1) | 46.56% ( -0.1) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.16% ( -0.06) | 38.84% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.43% ( -0.06) | 75.57% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 11.6% 2-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 57.25% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.07% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 19.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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