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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
CNG Stadium
Rochdale

Harrogate
1 - 1
Rochdale

Sims (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Keohane (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-2 Rochdale

There is no real pressure on either side heading into this match, which could create an entertaining contest. Rochdale were excellent against Sutton last time out and certainly have enough quality to secure a share of the spoils on Monday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawRochdale
57.26% (0.112 0.11) 23.07% (-0.035 -0.04) 19.67% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.96% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53% (0.041000000000004 0.04)48.47% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4% (0.038 0.04)70.6% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.32% (0.054000000000002 0.05)16.68% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.44% (0.097999999999999 0.1)46.56% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.16% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)38.84% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.43% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)75.57% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 57.25%
    Rochdale 19.67%
    Draw 23.07%
Harrogate TownDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 11.6%
2-0 @ 10.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.2% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 57.25%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.48% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 19.67%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Rochdale

Harrogate Town
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rochdale
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Rochdale
1-4
Harrogate
Ball (7')
Brierley (37')
Thomson (14'), Armstrong (53', 58'), Folarin (70')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
gameweek 32
Rochdale
3-3
Harrogate
Clark (18'), Odoh (61'), Campbell (88')
O'Connell (48'), Ball (76')
Pattison (3', 24'), Diamond (47')
Legge (66')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
gameweek 1
Harrogate
3-2
Rochdale
Armstrong (5'), Pattison (10'), Burrell (90+1')
Pattison (59')
Newby (15'), Grant (49')
Beesley (43'), Odoh (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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