Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.