Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.