Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Maidenhead United |
34.51% ( 0.02) | 25.1% ( 0.01) | 40.39% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.1% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.62% ( -0.05) | 46.37% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.34% ( -0.05) | 68.66% ( 0.05) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( -0.01) | 26% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.97% ( -0.02) | 61.02% ( 0.01) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.17% ( -0.04) | 22.83% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.44% ( -0.06) | 56.55% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Maidenhead United |
1-0 @ 8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.35% Total : 34.51% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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