Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
27.71% ( -3.13) | 24.88% ( -1.22) | 47.41% ( 4.35) |
Both teams to score 54.56% ( 2.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.77% ( 3.51) | 48.23% ( -3.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.62% ( 3.13) | 70.38% ( -3.13) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.54% ( -0.47) | 31.46% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.15% ( -0.55) | 67.85% ( 0.55) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.61% ( 3.47) | 20.39% ( -3.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.19% ( 5.24) | 52.81% ( -5.24) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
1-0 @ 7.42% ( -1.25) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.78) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.33) Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.71% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.62) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.98) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.72) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.67) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.39) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.46) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.41) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.74% Total : 47.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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