Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.