Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 83.29%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 6.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 3-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.36%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (1.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Wealdstone |
83.29% (![]() | 10.36% (![]() | 6.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
79.25% (![]() | 20.75% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
60.84% (![]() | 39.15% (![]() |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.41% (![]() | 3.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.49% (![]() | 15.51% (![]() |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.02% | 40.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.46% | 77.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Wealdstone |
3-0 @ 9.03% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.14% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.05% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 5% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 6-2 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 4.82% Total : 83.29% | 1-1 @ 4.36% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.22% Total : 10.36% | 1-2 @ 1.95% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.13% Total : 6.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 82 |
2 | York City | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 71 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 37 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 71 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 54 | 39 | 15 | 62 |
5 | Gateshead | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 65 | 47 | 18 | 60 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 59 |
7 | Rochdale | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 55 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 55 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 52 |
10 | Eastleigh | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 52 |
11 | Tamworth | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 48 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 46 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 46 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 |
16 | Braintree TownBraintree | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
17 | Woking | 35 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 41 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 40 |
19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 36 |
20 | Fylde | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 42 | 67 | -25 | 36 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 35 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 31 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 37 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 26 | 80 | -54 | 14 |
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