National League | Gameweek 22

Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Bootham Crescent

York City
1 - 1
Wrexham

Duku (90+2')
Mafuta (32'), Hancox (49')

FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Connor (88')
Young (42')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between York City and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Dorking 1-0 York City
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Wrexham

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Wrexham 4-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3.15pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

We said: York City 0-2 Wrexham

With York in a tricky situation, suffering on and off the pitch, we expect to see the league leaders take full advantage. With the potential return of Palmer to the forward line, the visitors look far too strong. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for York City had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
York City	Draw	Wrexham
19.06% ( -0.25)	23.44% ( -0)	57.5% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 48.86% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.25% (

-0.33)

50.75% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.35% (

-0.29)

72.65% (

0.3)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.17% (

-0.47)

40.83% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.59% (

-0.43)

77.4% (

0.43)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.58% (

-0.03)

17.42% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.15% (

-0.05)

47.85% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

York City 19.06%

Wrexham 57.5%

Draw 23.44%

York City	Draw	Wrexham
1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.06%	1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.44%	0-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 10.86% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.33% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.5%