Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for York City had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.