Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 83.69%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 5.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 4-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Maidenhead United |
83.69% ( 0.01) | 10.56% ( -0.01) | 5.75% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.94% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.84% ( 0.13) | 25.16% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.87% ( 0.16) | 45.13% ( -0.16) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.71% ( 0.02) | 4.29% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.21% ( 0.07) | 17.78% ( -0.07) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.22% ( 0.13) | 46.78% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.68% ( 0.1) | 82.32% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Maidenhead United |
3-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 5.18% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) 7-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.09% Total : 83.69% | 1-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 10.56% | 1-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 5.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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