National League | Gameweek 17

Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Bootham Crescent

York City
0 - 2
Southend

Sanders (17'), Hancox (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Scott-Morriss (6'), Hobson (61')
Miley (57'), Kensdale (87'), Andeng-Ndi (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

Last Game: York City 1-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Maidstone 0-3 Southend
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for York City had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.

Result
York City	Draw	Southend United
22.84% ( 0.03)	24.42% ( 0.02)	52.74% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 51.27% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.71% (

-0.03)

50.29% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.76% (

-0.03)

72.24% (

0.03)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.31% (

0.01)

36.68% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.53% (

0.02)

73.47% (

-0.01)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.97% (

-0.03)

19.02% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.4% (

-0.05)

50.59% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

York City 22.84%

Southend United 52.74%

Draw 24.41%

York City	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.62% 3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 22.84%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.74%