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FA Cup
Shrewsbury Town
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
York City

Shipley (2'), Leahy (45+3' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Duku (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Shrewsbury Town and York City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

York City

All competitions
Last Game: York City 0-2 Southend
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League

We said: Shrewsbury Town 2-0 York City

 This game brings two teams in similar form against each other, and as the cliche goes, anything can happen in the cup. Both sides have struggled in front of goal this season, however, we think Shrewsbury's League One quality will shine through here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shrewsbury Town.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawYork City
44.66% (0.156 0.16) 24.44% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 30.89% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 58.04% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43% (-0.012 -0.01)44.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (-0.012 -0.01)66.94% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (0.064000000000007 0.06)20.08% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.68% (0.101 0.1)52.32% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)27.37% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (-0.129 -0.13)62.83% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 44.66%
    York City 30.89%
    Draw 24.44%
Shrewsbury TownDrawYork City
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 44.66%
1-1 @ 11.43%
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 30.89%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs York City

Shrewsbury Town
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
York City
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2015 3pm
Shrewsbury
1-0
York City
Ellis (12')
Collins (84')
Oct 18, 2014 3pm
York City
0-1
Shrewsbury

Coulson (86')
Jarvis (64')
Collins (87')
Grant (20')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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