UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Bosnia H'vina
1 - 0
Montenegro

Demirovic (45+1')
Demirovic (10'), Pjanic (28'), Dzeko (78'), Hadzikadunic (79'), Sanicanin (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Savicevic (22'), Marusic (90+4'), Vukcevic (90+4'), Jankovic (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 3-2 Finland
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Montenegro

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Romania 0-3 Montenegro
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

We said: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2-1 Montenegro

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, with plenty on the line for both sides. It would certainly not be a surprise to see an away victory or a draw, but we just have a feeling that Bosnia will do enough to secure a huge three points in the section. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bosnia-Herzegovina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bosnia-Herzegovina.

Result
Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Montenegro
46.42% ( -0.16)	25.19% ( 0)	28.39% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 54.06% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.88% (

0.08)

49.11% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.81% (

0.07)

71.19% (

-0.08)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.82% (

-0.04)

21.18% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.95% (

-0.05)

54.05% (

0.05)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.58% (

0.16)

31.42% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.2% (

0.18)

67.8% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 46.42%

Montenegro 28.39%

Draw 25.18%

Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Montenegro
1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.42%	1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.39%