UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Jun 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Bosnia H'vina
3 - 2
Finland

Pjanic (5' pen.), Dzeko (29', 58')
Prcic (45+3'), Gojak (84'), Petev (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Pukki (10'), Kallman (18')
Vaisanen (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Last Six:

Last Game: Montenegro 1-1 Bosnia H'vina
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Finland

Last Six:

Last Game: Romania 1-0 Finland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

We said: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0-0 Finland

Low-scoring contests have been the theme in this group so far, and we can envisage a similar affair between two sides who could barely be separated in the last meeting and are hardly the most fearsome outfits on the attacking front. Kanerva has plenty of options to cover for O'Shaughnessy in his defensively-minded setup, and an entire 90 minutes may go by without the net rippling once in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Finland had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Finland win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bosnia-Herzegovina would win this match.

Result
Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Finland
39.65% ( -0.01)	24.83% ( -0.03)	35.52% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 58.24% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.01% (

0.13)

44.99% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.66% (

0.12)

67.34% (

-0.12)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.41% (

0.05)

22.59% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.8% (

0.08)

56.2% (

-0.07)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.23% (

0.08)

24.77% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.66% (

0.11)

59.34% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 39.65%

Finland 35.52%

Draw 24.82%

Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Finland
2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.65%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.82%	1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.52%