We said: Kazakhstan 0-2 Austria
While Austria will believe they belong among Europe's elite, Kazakhstan are simply along for the ride at League B level, which has proved too tough for them so far.
The visitors should take care of business against their toothless hosts on Thursday, setting up a possible winner-takes-all showdown with Slovenia.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.39%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Austria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austria.
-2.08) 
3.12) 
