MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 21:27:56| >> :120:5805:5805:
Slovenia national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Kazakhstan national football team

Slovenia
3 - 0
Kazakhstan

Sesko (23', 28', 63')
Mlakar (20'), Celar (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Maliy (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Slovenia and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 1-1 Austria
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-0 Norway
Friday, September 6 at 3pm in Nations League

We said: Slovenia 1-0 Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan will take a lot of confidence from their goalless draw with Norway, but Slovenia have home advantage here, and we are backing Kek's team to navigate their way to a narrow success on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 47.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result
SloveniaDrawKazakhstan
47.78% (0.035000000000004 0.04) 26.15% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 26.07% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.36% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.58% (0.065000000000005 0.07)54.42% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.21% (0.055 0.05)75.79% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22% (0.043999999999997 0.04)22.78% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.52% (0.066000000000003 0.07)56.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.92% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36.08% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.14% (0.023 0.02)72.86% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 47.77%
    Kazakhstan 26.07%
    Draw 26.14%
SloveniaDrawKazakhstan
1-0 @ 12.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.99% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 47.77%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.22% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 26.07%

How you voted: Slovenia vs Kazakhstan

Slovenia
88.1%
Draw
8.7%
Kazakhstan
3.2%
126
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
2-1
Kazakhstan
Sesko (41' pen.), Verbic (86')
Verbic (86')
Orazov (48')
Vorogovskiy (40'), Kuat (61'), Maliy (79'), Alip (90')
Mar 23, 2023 3pm
Group Stage
Kazakhstan
1-2
Slovenia
Samorodov (23')
Brekalo (47'), Vipotnik (78')
rhs 2.0
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