Nations League | League C
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pristina City Stadium
Kosovo5 - 1Cyprus
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: N. Ireland 2-1 Kosovo
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in Nations League
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in Nations League
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Kosovo 2-1 Cyprus
Cyprus have never won away in the UEFA Nations League, and after losing 2-0 to Kosovo in the reverse fixture, we think that they will fall to a narrow defeat on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 53.01%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kosovo | Draw | Cyprus |
53.01% ( 0.06) | 23.19% ( -0.12) | 23.79% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.87% ( 0.61) | 44.13% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.49% ( 0.59) | 66.51% ( -0.59) |
| Kosovo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( 0.24) | 16.63% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.54% ( 0.43) | 46.46% ( -0.44) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% ( 0.39) | 32.43% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.05% ( 0.44) | 68.95% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
Kosovo 53.01%
Cyprus 23.79%
Draw 23.19%
| Kosovo | Draw | Cyprus |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.01% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 23.79% |
How you voted: Kosovo vs Cyprus
Kosovo
77.5%Draw
13.5%Cyprus
9.0%89
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2022 5pm
